Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:48:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd29f…a0e0
other · 255 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$82 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses18 / 237
Whale WR (big bets)5%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)255 / 255
History coverage136d
Avg bet$215
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 0 History 255 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$15
14 days−$27
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 14 $355 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $249 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $401 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 14 $188 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 14 $58 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $195 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $357 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $752 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $947 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $771 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $403 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $186 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $517 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $255 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $319 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 11 $154 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $296 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $266 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $506 −$1 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $60 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $139 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $526 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $291 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 08 $214 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $165 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $241 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $61 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $412 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $128 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 06 $767 −$2 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $218 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $127 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $381 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $523 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $568 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $157 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $434 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 03 $138 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $529 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $149 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 02 $232 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 02 $275 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $475 −$1 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $65 −$1 -1%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $300 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $236 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $552 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? May 29 $67 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $226 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $377 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$43
sports 23% −$21
politics 9% −$7
economics 6% −$8
crypto 6% −$3
culture 6% −$6
world 4% −$4
tech 2% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $57 32m
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $57 1h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $57 3h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $57 5h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $57 6h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $57 8h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $57 9h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $58 11h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $58 12h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $58 13h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $58 19h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $58 21h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $58 25h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $58 26h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $58 30h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $58 31h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $58 34h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $58 35h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $58 40h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $58 41h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $58 46h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $58 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $58 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $58 2d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $58 2d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $59 2d
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $57 2d
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $1 2d
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $59 2d
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $59 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 181 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 255 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1426 history records