Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:40:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd298…ab65
crypto · 1497 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,838 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,838 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,838
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1323 / 174
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1497 / 1497
History coverage45d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day39.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1497 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$476
7 days−$396
14 days−$451
30 days−$1,480
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $738 $0 −$738 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $330 $0 −$330 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $82 +$16 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$12 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$12 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $101 −$64 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$11 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $114 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $264 −$105 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$18 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $96 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $192 −$132 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$9 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $133 +$14 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $127 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $122 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $109 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $740 −$738 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $549 +$96 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $700 +$43 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $440 −$440 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,848
other 0% +$2
sports 0% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $98 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $82 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $70 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $58 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $38 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $101 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $98 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $96 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $37 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $35 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $31 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $31 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $32 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 +2.2% -7.5% 90% 24% -10.8%
≤30d 1019 -0.0% -9.6% 89% 26% -11.1%
≤90d 1497 -0.2% -9.7% 88% 27% -11.1%
all 1497 -0.2% -9.7% 88% 27% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 27% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 9% -19.6%
15% -26.2% 3% -27.4%
20% -33.4% 1% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records