Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:14:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd297…2919
weather · 358 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$783 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$591 · open +$143
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,882
Realized+$591
Unrealized+$143
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses222 / 114
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Est. fees paid−$216
Open positions23
Markets (closed)336 / 358
History coverage73d
Avg bet$174
Trades / day46.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 23 History 336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$97
14 days+$969
30 days+$676
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Yes 66¢ 74¢ $268 $298 +$30 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? No 83¢ 88¢ $246 $264 +$18 (+7%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Yes 58¢ 66¢ $145 $165 +$20 (+14%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Yes 74¢ 85¢ $112 $129 +$16 (+14%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 84¢ 84¢ $127 $126 −$0 (-0%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 52¢ 64¢ $97 $119 +$22 (+23%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13? No 96¢ 98¢ $109 $111 +$2 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 13? No 82¢ 76¢ $109 $101 −$8 (-7%)
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? No 50¢ 65¢ $70 $91 +$21 (+31%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 76¢ 80¢ $76 $80 +$4 (+5%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes 62¢ 64¢ $62 $64 +$2 (+2%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? No 84¢ 98¢ $52 $61 +$9 (+16%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 60¢ 69¢ $45 $52 +$7 (+16%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? Yes 61¢ 59¢ $49 $47 −$2 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 13? No 94¢ 99¢ $37 $39 +$2 (+5%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? Yes 69¢ 72¢ $34 $36 +$1 (+4%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? Yes 78¢ 78¢ $31 $31 +$0 (+1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 45¢ 54¢ $16 $19 +$3 (+19%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 58¢ 60¢ $14 $15 +$0 (+3%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Yes 38¢ 34¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-9%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Yes 30¢ 23¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-23%)
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-3%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? Yes 60¢ 69¢ $4 $4 +$1 (+15%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on May 20? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $309 $0 −$309 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? Jun 13 $196 +$7 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $324 −$82 -25%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $286 −$60 -21%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 12 $32 +$2 +6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? Jun 12 $145 −$42 -29%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 12 $495 +$74 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $275 +$4 +2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $434 −$24 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $486 +$34 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $228 +$22 +9%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $49 −$15 -30%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 11? Jun 11 $486 +$17 +4%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Jun 11 $59 −$26 -45%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $92 +$6 +7%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? Jun 11 $11 $0 +3%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? Jun 11 $20 −$4 -20%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 11? Jun 11 $121 −$11 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 11? Jun 11 $252 +$14 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $88 +$11 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 10? Jun 10 $91 −$14 -16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $29 −$17 -60%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 10? Jun 10 $395 +$5 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 10? Jun 10 $573 +$26 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 10? Jun 10 $57 +$3 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on June 10? Jun 10 $28 +$2 +7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $17 $0 +3%
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Jun 10 $12 +$1 +10%
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Jun 10 $19 −$5 -24%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 10 $41 $0 +1%
Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC Jun 10 $6 +$6 +100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 9? Jun 09 $128 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 9? Jun 09 $131 +$3 +2%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June? Jun 09 $210 −$78 -37%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 09 $158 −$14 -9%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? Jun 09 $33 −$32 -99%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? Jun 09 $82 +$13 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 9? Jun 09 $205 +$21 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on June 9? Jun 09 $108 +$12 +12%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $8 +$2 +21%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 08 $42 +$6 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 8? Jun 08 $321 +$8 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $17 +$5 +30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $61 −$16 -27%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $164 −$38 -23%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 8? Jun 08 $174 +$15 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 8? Jun 08 $117 +$15 +13%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $64 +$12 +18%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $67 +$6 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 8? Jun 08 $54 −$29 -53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 25% +$407
sports 24% −$893
world 21% +$424
crypto 13% +$244
other 9% +$446
finance 6% +$324
politics 1% −$239
tech 0% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $159 0m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 80¢ $12 1m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $33 14m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $16 22m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $6 22m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? SELL No 45¢ $32 23m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $15 23m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? SELL No 53¢ $10 23m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 70¢ $0 37m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $5 38m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $8 38m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $10 38m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $14 39m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $9 39m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 68¢ $13 50m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? SELL No 72¢ $29 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 82¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $56 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 70¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 78¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $53 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? SELL No 77¢ $21 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? SELL No 78¢ $35 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? SELL No 80¢ $116 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 64¢ $71 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 78¢ $31 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 26¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $2 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 53¢ $21 2h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -3.9% -13.1% 69% 23% -10.4%
≤30d 191 -1.8% -11.2% 67% 35% -7.5%
≤90d 336 +3.2% -6.6% 66% 39% -8.5%
all 336 +3.2% -6.6% 66% 39% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.6% 39% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 19% -17.3%
15% -23.7% 11% -25.3%
20% -31.2% 5% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,882.38 · official $1,882.39 (match) · 3500 history records