Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd28d…9d09
crypto · 960 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$496 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$496 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$496
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses517 / 443
Open positions0
Markets (closed)960 / 960
History coverage4d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day569.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 960 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,024
7 days−$496
14 days−$496
30 days−$496
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$9 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$9 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$17 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$12 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$496
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 960 -1.9% -11.3% 54% 41% -12.1%
≤30d 960 -1.9% -11.3% 54% 41% -12.1%
≤90d 960 -1.9% -11.3% 54% 41% -12.1%
all 960 -1.9% -11.3% 54% 41% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover569.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 41% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 40% -20.5%
15% -27.5% 38% -28.2%
20% -34.6% 35% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records