Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd288…b59d
crypto · 2148 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$1,744 +24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,744 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$1,744
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1288 / 494
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1782 / 2148
History coverage6d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day390.8
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 5 History 1782 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$469
7 days+$1,744
14 days+$1,744
30 days+$1,744
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Up 75¢ 90¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+21%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Up 72¢ 88¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+22%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Up 67¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Down 48¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-34%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Down 47¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-37%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$2,243
other 6% +$145
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)+8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1782 +20.1% +8.7% 72% 72% +20.9%
≤30d 1782 +20.1% +8.7% 72% 72% +20.9%
≤90d 1782 +20.1% +8.7% 72% 72% +20.9%
all 1782 +20.1% +8.7% 72% 72% +20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover390.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.7% 72% +20.9%
10% ← realistic here -1.7% 72% +9.3%
15% -11.2% 66% -1.2%
20% -19.9% 55% -10.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.22 · official $6.77 (match) · 3500 history records