trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -39.0% | -44.8% | 50% | 50% | -51.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -39.0% | -44.8% | 50% | 50% | -51.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -31.9% | -38.4% | 50% | 50% | -24.9% |
| all | 4 | -31.9% | -38.4% | 50% | 50% | -24.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.4% | 50% | -24.9% |
| 10% | -44.3% | 25% | -32.1% |
| 15% | -49.7% | 25% | -38.7% |
| 20% | -54.6% | 25% | -44.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | No | 70¢ | 97¢ | $212 | $294 | +$82 (+39%) |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 57¢ | 55¢ | $170 | $165 | −$5 (-3%) |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $111 | $111 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | $93 | $96 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | Yes | 21¢ | 2¢ | $100 | $9 | −$91 (-91%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | Jun 20 | $255 | −$255 | -100% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Jun 20 | $200 | +$44 | +22% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | May 01 | $200 | +$101 | +50% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Apr 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |