trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -17.6% | -25.5% | 4% | 0% | -21.7% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -17.6% | -25.5% | 4% | 0% | -21.7% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -17.6% | -25.5% | 4% | 0% | -21.7% |
| all | 25 | -17.6% | -25.5% | 4% | 0% | -21.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.5% | 0% | -21.7% |
| 10% | -32.6% | 0% | -29.2% |
| 15% | -39.1% | 0% | -36.0% |
| 20% | -45.1% | 0% | -42.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | Yes | 64¢ | 66¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? | No | 38¢ | 38¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 24¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-66%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 21 | $44 | −$2 | -4% |
| MLP St. Petersburg: St. Louis Shock vs Los Angeles Mad Drops | Jun 21 | $19 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Netherlands go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | Jun 20 | $16 | −$11 | -65% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 20 | $11 | −$2 | -13% |
| World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick? | Jun 20 | $25 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | Jun 20 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will one person dissent the July Fed decision? | Jun 20 | $42 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$1 | -16% |
| Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | Jun 19 | $34 | −$6 | -18% |
| World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties? | Jun 19 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Czechia be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 | Jun 19 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Jun 19 | $100 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will there be a playoff at the 2026 U.S. Open? | Jun 18 | $11 | −$9 | -83% |
| Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? | Jun 18 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$9 | -94% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$5 | -47% |
| Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Canada vs Qatar | Jun 18 | $11 | −$5 | -50% |
| Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA | Jun 18 | $11 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA | Jun 18 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $4 | −$1 | -13% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | -8% |