trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +69.6% | +53.5% | 100% | 67% | +56.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +28.0% | +15.8% | 100% | 33% | +37.9% |
| all | 14 | +11.0% | +0.4% | 93% | 21% | +32.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.4% | 21% | +32.3% |
| 10% | -9.2% | 21% | +19.6% |
| 15% | -17.9% | 21% | +8.1% |
| 20% | -26.0% | 7% | -2.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Colombia | 46¢ | 46¢ | $207 | $204 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $83 | +$137 | +165% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | May 25 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | May 25 | $244 | +$106 | +44% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $308 | +$122 | +40% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition | Apr 18 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | Apr 18 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Feb 03 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $40 on the final trading day of January 2 | Feb 03 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP dip to $0.20 in January? | Feb 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in Janua | Jan 26 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31? | Jan 06 | $23 | $0 | +0% |