Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd26e…cc2e
crypto · 72 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$329 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$325 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$325
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses10 / 57
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions4
Markets (closed)67 / 72
History coverage26d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 4 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$197
7 days−$197
14 days−$197
30 days−$325
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-3%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Spurs 24¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline Spurs 44¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +106%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$10 +332%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $4 −$1 -22%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $31 −$2 -7%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -96%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $25 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Jun 12 $29 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% −$128
crypto 27% −$206
other 15% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 25m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 7¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 29m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $13 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 17¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-58.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -54.7% -59.0% 14% 14% -42.2%
≤30d 67 -53.6% -58.0% 15% 15% -33.3%
≤90d 67 -53.6% -58.0% 15% 15% -33.3%
all 67 -53.6% -58.0% 15% 15% -33.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -58.0% 15% -33.3%
10% -62.0% 15% -39.7%
15% -65.7% 15% -45.5%
20% -69.1% 12% -50.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.39 · official $39.39 · 204 history records