Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:54:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd267…8f19
crypto · 1479 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,209 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$425 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$425
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses773 / 704
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1477 / 1479
History coverage36d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day58.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1477 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$82
7 days+$9
14 days−$109
30 days−$229
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 57¢ 62¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 59¢ 44¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$415
other 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 527 +0.6% -9.0% 62% 57% -9.0%
≤30d 1095 -6.7% -15.6% 49% 43% -16.0%
≤90d 1477 -7.3% -16.1% 52% 47% -16.5%
all 1477 -7.3% -16.1% 52% 47% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 47% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 46% -24.4%
15% -31.5% 36% -31.7%
20% -38.2% 26% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.41 · official $5.35 (match) · 3500 history records