Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:14:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd25e…c0c3
crypto · 273 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$1,474 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,474 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,474
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses158 / 115
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)273 / 273
History coverage78d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day16.3
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 273 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$6
14 days−$112
30 days−$162
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 30? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $133 $0 −$133 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $314 $0 −$314 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $235 $0 −$235 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $62 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $45 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 06 $19 −$5 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 03 $368 −$55 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 03 $82 −$6 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 03 $24 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 03 $90 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 03 $72 −$13 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 03 $101 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 02 $81 −$15 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 02 $111 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 02 $54 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 02 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 01 $593 −$32 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 01 $124 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 01 $109 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET May 31 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET May 31 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET May 31 $81 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 30 $25 −$6 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 30 $41 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 29 $25 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 29 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 29 $8 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 29 $36 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 29 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 28 $20 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 28 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 28 $13 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET May 28 $31 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 28 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET May 28 $61 −$8 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET May 28 $31 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 28 $44 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 27 $28 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET May 27 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET May 27 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 27 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 27 $9 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,475
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +10.4% -0.2% 64% 36% -12.7%
≤30d 89 -3.4% -12.6% 55% 19% -13.7%
≤90d 273 +3.1% -6.7% 58% 35% -4.6%
all 273 +3.1% -6.7% 58% 35% -4.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.7% 35% -4.6%
10% -15.6% 23% -13.8%
15% -23.8% 19% -22.1%
20% -31.2% 12% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1625 history records