trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 50% | 50% | +9.4% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -9.1% | -17.8% | 50% | 50% | +9.1% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -9.1% | -17.8% | 50% | 50% | +9.1% |
| all | 20 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 45% | 45% | +4.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.1% | 45% | +4.3% |
| 10% | -28.6% | 40% | -5.7% |
| 15% | -35.5% | 40% | -14.8% |
| 20% | -41.9% | 40% | -23.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $150 | $142 | −$8 (-5%) |
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Yes | 31¢ | 30¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | England | 69¢ | 68¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 19¢ | 16¢ | $50 | $41 | −$9 (-18%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 | Jun 26 | $152 | +$79 | +52% |
| Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 1.5 | Jun 26 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 0.5 | Jun 26 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 25 | $203 | +$168 | +83% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $203 | +$197 | +97% |
| Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Jun 24 | $46 | −$11 | -24% |
| Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $253 | −$253 | -100% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $139 | +$72 | +52% |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $405 | +$251 | +62% |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 23 | $203 | +$262 | +129% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | Jun 18 | $8 | +$2 | +21% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) | Nov 09 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner | Nov 09 | $15 | +$12 | +83% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | Nov 09 | $9 | −$6 | -70% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner | Nov 09 | $5 | +$5 | +110% |
| US government shutdown by October 1? | Oct 01 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 17 | $100 | −$51 | -51% |