Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:46:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd23b…6efa
other · 14 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$71 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$71 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses2 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)10 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day20.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit7%
Chart Positions 4 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$71
14 days−$71
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $22 $22 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+12%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 10¢ 9¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-10%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $15 −$1 -6%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $31 +$32 +105%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $18 +$7 +36%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $8 −$3 -34%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $33 −$32 -96%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $23 −$22 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $8 −$7 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 97% −$64
sports 3% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $8 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $16 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $15 6h
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL Yes 60¢ $14 6h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 61¢ $15 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 13¢ $8 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 10¢ $8 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $63 10h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 17¢ $25 12h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL Yes 5¢ $5 13h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $8 13h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 13h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $8 13h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $8 13h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 5¢ $8 13h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $8 13h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 11¢ $8 13h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $8 13h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $8 13h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $16 13h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 7¢ $8 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $31 14h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $8 14h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $25 14h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 9¢ $8 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-54.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -49.8% -54.6% 20% 20% -45.6%
≤30d 10 -49.8% -54.6% 20% 20% -45.6%
≤90d 10 -49.8% -54.6% 20% 20% -45.6%
all 10 -49.8% -54.6% 20% 20% -45.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -54.6% 20% -45.6%
10% ← realistic here -59.0% 20% -50.8%
15% -62.9% 20% -55.5%
20% -66.6% 10% -59.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.33 · official $52.33 (match) · 25 history records