Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd235…0f29
crypto · 7 markets active 573d ago
0.0score
+$21,792,052 +284%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21,792,052 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$21,792,052
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses6 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage12d
Avg bet$1,098,024
Trades / day294.7
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $3,640,758 $0 −$3,640,758 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? Nov 16 $3,645,113 −$3,640,758 -100%
Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%? Nov 15 $191 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? Nov 13 $154 +$37 +24%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November? Nov 11 $141 +$14 +10%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November? Nov 11 $111 +$29 +26%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November? Nov 10 $100 +$11 +11%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 06 $4,040,355 +$25,432,717 +630%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 53% +$25,432,718
other 47% −$3,640,758
crypto 0% +$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 65¢ $26,123 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 48¢ $29,574 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $14 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $124 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $37 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $373 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $6 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $2,960 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $41 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $88 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $293 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $148 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $102 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $1,326 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $261 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $20 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $6 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $14 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $14 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $108 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $24 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $656 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $8 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $60 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $640 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $747 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $9,017 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $410 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $379 573d
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? BUY Yes 41¢ $82 573d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+68.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 7 +85.9% +68.2% 86% 57% +247.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover294.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +68.2% 57% +247.1%
10% +52.1% 43% +213.9%
15% ← realistic here +37.4% 14% +183.6%
20% +23.9% 14% +155.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records