trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -46.5% | -51.6% | 8% | 8% | -91.3% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -57.4% | -61.5% | 14% | 14% | -89.0% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -57.4% | -61.5% | 14% | 14% | -89.0% |
| all | 21 | -57.4% | -61.5% | 14% | 14% | -89.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -61.5% | 14% | -89.0% |
| 10% | -65.2% | 10% | -90.1% |
| 15% | -68.5% | 10% | -91.0% |
| 20% | -71.6% | 5% | -91.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-1 | Jun 15 | $10 | +$56 | +542% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $587 | −$580 | -99% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | Jun 13 | $16 | −$16 | -98% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 13 | $103 | −$87 | -85% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $18 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$4 | +39% |
| Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? | Jun 12 | $25 | −$15 | -62% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |