Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:35:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D2 0xd219…02f5 crypto 488 markets active 3h ago coverage 21d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (101 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$70 (-2%) realized −$70 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate73%356W / 132L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day101.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$49
14 days−$96
30 days−$131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$131
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (101 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -3.9% -13.1% 79% 20% -13.9%
≤30d 488 -3.3% -12.5% 73% 28% -12.0%
≤90d 488 -3.3% -12.5% 73% 28% -12.0%
all 488 -3.3% -12.5% 73% 28% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover101.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 28% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 11% -20.4%
15% -28.5% 7% -28.1%
20% -35.5% 3% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
60% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$70
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses356 / 132
Open positions0
Markets (closed)488 / 488
History coverage21d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day101.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 488 Trades
no open positions (39 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $27 −$10 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$8 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $37 −$8 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$5 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$6 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $13 +$5 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$7 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$11 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $17 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2405 history records