Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:18:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd212…5182
weather · 38 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$64 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$64 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$64
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses2 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage8d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$51
14 days−$64
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $46 −$2 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $32 −$2 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 13 $14 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $24 −$1 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? Jun 12 $19 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 13? Jun 12 $7 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? Jun 12 $13 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 12 $48 −$4 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $13 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $24 −$2 -7%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 12 $36 −$14 -40%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 12 $48 −$2 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $33 −$2 -5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 11 $71 −$4 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 11 $27 −$2 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 10 $1 $0 -13%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10? Jun 10 $20 −$2 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $16 −$1 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $12 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $26 −$1 -2%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 10? Jun 10 $20 −$2 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 9? Jun 08 $23 −$1 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 7? Jun 07 $2 −$1 -32%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7? Jun 07 $24 −$5 -21%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6? Jun 06 $2 −$1 -28%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6? Jun 06 $118 −$15 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 5? Jun 05 $3 +$2 +88%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 5? Jun 05 $2 $0 -20%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? Jun 05 $1 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$64
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 58¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? SELL No 45¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 54¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 50¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 47¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? SELL Yes 41¢ $12 4h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? SELL Yes 41¢ $12 4h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? BUY Yes 42¢ $23 4h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? BUY Yes 43¢ $2 4h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? SELL No 54¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 54¢ $0 5h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 54¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 58¢ $0 6h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? SELL Yes 39¢ $15 6h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 40¢ $9 6h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 40¢ $7 6h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? SELL No 58¢ $7 6h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 58¢ $7 6h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL No 49¢ $4 7h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL No 50¢ $9 7h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? BUY No 50¢ $14 7h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 57¢ $42 7h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 59¢ $42 7h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 59¢ $15 8h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 60¢ $6 8h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 60¢ $6 8h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 60¢ $3 8h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? SELL Yes 41¢ $8 9h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? BUY Yes 41¢ $9 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -7.7% -16.5% 3% 0% -16.7%
≤30d 38 -5.4% -14.5% 5% 3% -17.0%
≤90d 38 -5.4% -14.5% 5% 3% -17.0%
all 38 -5.4% -14.5% 5% 3% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 3% -17.0%
10% -22.6% 3% -25.0%
15% -30.1% 3% -32.2%
20% -37.0% 3% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 158 history records