Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1ed…af81
crypto · 2254 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$149 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$149 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$149
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1243 / 500
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1743 / 2254
History coverage15d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day151.4
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1743 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$682
7 days−$409
14 days+$116
30 days+$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 47¢ 66¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$905
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)+14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 815 +9.9% -0.5% 62% 62% -33.4%
≤30d 1743 +26.9% +14.8% 71% 71% -4.9%
≤90d 1743 +26.9% +14.8% 71% 71% -4.9%
all 1743 +26.9% +14.8% 71% 71% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover151.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.8% 71% -4.9%
10% ← realistic here +3.8% 69% -14.0%
15% -6.2% 56% -22.3%
20% -15.4% 39% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.39 · official $1.07 (match) · 3500 history records