Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1ed…d7cb
sports · 513 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
−$48,919 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$53,232 · open +$4,081
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$14,806
Realized−$53,232
Unrealized+$4,081
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses315 / 538
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$4,795
Open positions6
Markets (closed)853 / 513
Avg bet$1,015
Trades / day665.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 853 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71,610
7 days−$53,232
14 days−$53,232
30 days−$53,232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 2¢ 29¢ $398 $6,303 +$5,905 (+1482%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 51¢ 49¢ $4,224 $4,050 −$174 (-4%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 42¢ 19¢ $5,117 $2,294 −$2,822 (-55%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 78¢ 81¢ $994 $1,034 +$40 (+4%)
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 12¢ 4¢ $2,497 $726 −$1,771 (-71%)
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 47¢ 80¢ $145 $246 +$101 (+70%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 22¢ 19¢ $174 $153 −$20 (-12%)
Spread: Thunder (-7.5) Thunder 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Detroit Tigers 19¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays Los Angeles Angels 29¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) Lakers 50¢ 0¢ $3,567 $0 −$3,567 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 35¢ 0¢ $228 $0 −$228 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Under 20¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Over 65¢ 0¢ $4,759 $0 −$4,759 (-100%)
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) Hurricanes 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5 Over 21¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Over 13¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 43¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Detroit Tigers 20¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Cleveland Guardians 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 57¢ 0¢ $697 $0 −$697 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) Knicks 28¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Thunder (-7.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 12 $60 −$51 -86%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) Jun 12 $3,567 −$3,567 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 12 $228 −$214 -94%
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $4,759 −$4,759 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $17 −$8 -47%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 +$2 +276%
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $266 −$266 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $561 −$561 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $126 −$125 -99%
Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5) Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2,739 −$2,736 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $5 +$26 +529%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $24,109 −$22,502 -93%
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Jun 12 $174 −$172 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $88 −$88 -99%
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $18 −$21 -119%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $7 +$4 +60%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 12 $8 −$3 -38%
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Jun 12 $763 −$710 -93%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $13 +$1 +8%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $4 +$9 +244%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$71,089
other 0% −$1,052
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 1¢ $32 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 96¢ $29 6h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 5¢ $5 6h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 5¢ $9 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 13¢ $19 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 12¢ $17 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 8¢ $24 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 9¢ $2 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 9¢ $18 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 9¢ $5 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 9¢ $14 6h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 6¢ $8 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 14¢ $14 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 15¢ $7 6h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 92¢ $5 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 76¢ $846 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 76¢ $786 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 74¢ $697 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 74¢ $41 6h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 22¢ $3 6h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 86¢ $87 6h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 86¢ $795 6h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 17¢ $7 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 21¢ $13 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 20¢ $62 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 18¢ $41 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 17¢ $25 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 65¢ $30 6h
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 97¢ $8 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $6 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 853 -10.7% -19.2% 37% 30% -16.7%
≤30d 853 -10.7% -19.2% 37% 30% -16.7%
≤90d 853 -10.7% -19.2% 37% 30% -16.7%
all 853 -10.7% -19.2% 37% 30% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover665.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 30% -16.7%
10% -27.0% 23% -24.7%
15% ← realistic here -34.0% 19% -32.0%
20% -40.5% 16% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14,806.08 · official $14,808.13 (match) · 3500 history records