Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1eb…52c6
crypto · 265 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$294 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$489 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized−$489
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses135 / 129
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$97
Open positions1
Markets (closed)264 / 265
History coverage12d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day66.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 264 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$164
7 days−$462
14 days−$489
30 days−$489
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $39 $39 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$5 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $137 −$85 -62%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $171 −$36 -21%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Divisi Jun 13 $136 −$33 -24%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $60 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $123 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$5 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $83 −$18 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $63 −$10 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +11%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $746 −$383 -51%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $277 −$133 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -32%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $306 +$183 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% −$390
weather 22% +$149
crypto 9% −$63
other 5% −$185
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $51 16h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $137 24h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL FUT Esports 62¢ $135 24h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 77¢ $171 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 -4.0% -13.2% 55% 34% -12.4%
≤30d 264 -5.4% -14.4% 51% 32% -12.4%
≤90d 264 -5.4% -14.4% 51% 32% -12.4%
all 264 -5.4% -14.4% 51% 32% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 32% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 18% -20.8%
15% -30.1% 9% -28.5%
20% -37.0% 5% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.59 · official $38.59 (match) · 794 history records