Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:40:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1ea…b196
crypto · 861 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$42 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses604 / 257
Open positions0
Markets (closed)861 / 861
History coverage29d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day57.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 861 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$10
14 days−$37
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$39
weather 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 353 -0.3% -9.8% 69% 55% -11.2%
≤30d 861 -0.8% -10.3% 70% 57% -10.9%
≤90d 861 -0.8% -10.3% 70% 57% -10.9%
all 861 -0.8% -10.3% 70% 57% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 57% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 21% -19.4%
15% -26.7% 7% -27.2%
20% -33.9% 3% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1799 history records