Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:51:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1e9…30e9
crypto · 518 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$86 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$100 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$100
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses360 / 149
Open positions9
Markets (closed)509 / 518
History coverage31d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day17.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 9 History 509 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days+$10
14 days−$59
30 days−$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Yes 67¢ 69¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+4%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 91¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win on 2026-06-27? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? Yes 75¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 60¢ 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$90
other 3% −$10
politics 0% −$1
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 274 +4.2% -5.8% 73% 72% -6.9%
≤30d 508 +1.2% -8.4% 71% 66% -15.9%
≤90d 509 +1.0% -8.6% 71% 65% -16.2%
all 509 +1.0% -8.6% 71% 65% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.6% 65% -16.2%
10% -17.3% 52% -24.2%
15% -25.3% 37% -31.6%
20% -32.6% 25% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.77 · official $33.77 (match) · 950 history records