Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:38:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1dc…5b3a
crypto · 44 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$12 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$10
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses27 / 15
Open positions2
Markets (closed)42 / 44
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day94.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 42¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -60%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -77%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$5
other 12% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -12.1% -20.5% 64% 5% -19.0%
≤30d 42 -12.1% -20.5% 64% 5% -19.0%
≤90d 42 -12.1% -20.5% 64% 5% -19.0%
all 42 -12.1% -20.5% 64% 5% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover94.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 5% -19.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 2% -26.8%
15% -35.0% 2% -33.9%
20% -41.4% 0% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.41 · official $1.89 (match) · 100 history records