Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1d7…a672
crypto · 1739 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$85 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$80 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$80
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses824 / 811
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1635 / 1739
History coverage41d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day66.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1635 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$114
7 days+$127
14 days+$161
30 days+$277
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? Yes 5¢ 3¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$10 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$7 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$21 +490%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$8 +108%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $8 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +135%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $20 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 5¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $4 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $4 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 202 +13.0% +2.2% 54% 52% +3.5%
≤30d 1163 +3.1% -6.7% 53% 53% -4.6%
≤90d 1635 -2.0% -11.3% 50% 50% -10.3%
all 1635 -2.0% -11.3% 50% 50% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 50% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 48% -18.9%
15% -27.5% 47% -26.7%
20% -34.6% 43% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.20 · official $5.20 (match) · 3500 history records