Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1c7…38e1
sports · 38 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$416 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$356 · open +$61
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$505
Realized+$356
Unrealized+$61
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses15 / 17
Est. fees paid−$59
Open positions6
Markets (closed)32 / 38
History coverage33d
Avg bet$98
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 6 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$573
7 days+$400
14 days+$400
30 days+$400
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Ursa 44¢ 100¢ $100 $226 +$126 (+126%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 24¢ 36¢ $94 $142 +$48 (+51%)
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $49 $47 −$2 (-4%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $48 $44 −$4 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 26¢ 18¢ $63 $44 −$19 (-30%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 31¢ 0¢ $90 $1 −$89 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 46¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 17¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-In NEW VISION 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Banger Gang (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Banger Gang 23¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 50¢ 0¢ $368 $0 −$368 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 60¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Falcons Force 45¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage illwill 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner NEW VISION 23¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage KOLESIE 42¢ 0¢ $231 $0 −$231 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $131 +$194 +148%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $85 +$165 +194%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $132 +$116 +88%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$112 +550%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 +$35 +68%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $50 −$49 -98%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 10 $195 −$192 -98%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $59 −$4 -6%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $235 −$231 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $194 +$230 +118%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $374 −$368 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $328 +$240 +73%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $286 +$102 +36%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $161 +$125 +78%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $92 +$70 +76%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Se Jun 09 $47 +$44 +93%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $50 −$2 -5%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $164 −$111 -68%
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Banger Gang (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eu Jun 08 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $40 +$155 +383%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $17 −$17 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $50 −$33 -66%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 08 $4 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $77 −$15 -20%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $59 −$58 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $70 −$69 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $51 +$45 +90%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $17 −$17 -98%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group St May 10 $110 −$93 -84%
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Gr May 10 $20 +$32 +158%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 10 $24 +$34 +139%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$443
other 5% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 32¢ $58 24m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Ursa 44¢ $102 33m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 17¢ $38 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $92 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $325 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 30¢ $36 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 44¢ $31 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 23¢ $29 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 38¢ $101 1h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $50 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $251 2h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $49 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL GenOne 99¢ $248 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 52¢ $132 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $132 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 15¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $85 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $85 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 58¢ $51 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 17¢ $50 23h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S BUY illwill 39¢ $51 2d
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe BUY Falcons Force 8¢ $5 2d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $56 2d
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe BUY Falcons Force 51¢ $190 2d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY KOLESIE 7¢ $6 2d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY KOLESIE 49¢ $228 2d
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se SELL G2 Ares 100¢ $424 2d
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY G2 Ares 45¢ $194 2d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 50¢ $374 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 100¢ $568 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +28.5% +16.3% 46% 46% +6.3%
≤30d 28 +28.5% +16.3% 46% 46% +6.3%
≤90d 32 +28.5% +16.2% 47% 47% +4.1%
all 32 +28.5% +16.2% 47% 47% +4.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +16.2% 47% +4.1%
10% +5.1% 47% -5.9%
15% -5.0% 47% -15.0%
20% -14.4% 44% -23.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $504.86 · official $504.86 (match) · 69 history records