Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1c7…1d2b
other · 36 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$43,071 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42,890 · open +$181
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$361,294
Realized+$42,890
Unrealized+$181
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses35 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)35 / 36
History coverage42d
Avg bet$689,012
Trades / day81.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 1 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,285
7 days+$6,716
14 days+$21,430
30 days+$38,965
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $361,113 $361,294 +$181 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 12 $2,027,686 +$2,955 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $64,756 +$105 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $208,735 +$225 +0%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $3,125,080 +$3,431 +0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $3,131,734 +$8,267 +0%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Jun 02 $3,127,106 +$5,390 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? May 31 $86,678 +$87 +0%
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026? May 31 $380,246 +$404 +0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 May 30 $563,336 +$538 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May? May 30 $827 +$1 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May? May 30 $100 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? May 30 $1,522 +$1 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May? May 30 $26,674 +$26 +0%
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games? May 29 $99,901 +$99 +0%
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23? May 28 $999 +$1 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? May 27 $252,602 +$268 +0%
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County? May 27 $428,070 +$428 +0%
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? May 25 $788,966 +$1,014 +0%
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? May 23 $284,391 +$342 +0%
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? May 23 $305,355 +$807 +0%
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? May 23 $2,327,228 +$9,110 +0%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? May 21 $890,431 +$891 +0%
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? May 21 $1,098,900 +$1,100 +0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $99,902 +$98 +0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $119,880 +$120 +0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $149,850 +$150 +0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $179,826 +$178 +0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $195,197 +$299 +0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $248,517 +$734 +0%
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026? May 15 $13,954 +$14 +0%
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? May 15 $148,856 +$144 +0%
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? May 15 $1,432,839 +$1,737 +0%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 06 $895 +$105 +12%
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur b May 06 $24,951 +$49 +0%
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? May 06 $2,607,335 +$3,771 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 46% +$21,913
other 21% +$7,395
politics 17% +$4,826
crypto 13% +$8,267
tech 2% +$538
finance 0% +$27
sports 0% +$105
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $4,995 6m
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $3,996 6m
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $29,970 12m
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $14,985 18m
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $2,028 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $500 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $2 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $3,750 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $999 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $999 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $11,488 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $999 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $999 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $999 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $999 1h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,939 2h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $4,995 2h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $0 2h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $70 2h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 2h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $3,497 2h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $2,138 2h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $9,990 2h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,598 2h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $39,960 3h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $999 3h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $55 3h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $999 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 32 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 35 +0.5% -9.1% 100% 3% -9.4%
all 35 +0.5% -9.1% 100% 3% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 3% -9.4%
10% -17.8% 0% -18.0%
15% ← realistic here -25.7% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $361,294.21 · official $361,294.21 (match) · 3500 history records