Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:58:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1bf…7690
sports · 23 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$247 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$247 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$247
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses8 / 15
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage189d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$140
7 days−$106
14 days−$106
30 days−$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $137 −$8 -6%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $70 −$26 -38%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $120 −$102 -85%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $47 +$8 +16%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $53 +$18 +33%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$23 -76%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $50 +$10 +20%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $38 +$24 +63%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 10 $51 −$46 -92%
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor Apr 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoff Apr 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Apr 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5) Apr 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Apr 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? Apr 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Apr 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3) Dec 14 $20 +$23 +113%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) Dec 13 $20 +$17 +85%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) Dec 12 $15 +$21 +141%
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? Dec 10 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Dec 08 $99 +$30 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$191
other 14% −$6
politics 5% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 99¢ $62 22m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 45¢ $28 28m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 36¢ $28 29m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 47¢ $38 38m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 24¢ $23 40m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 51¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 18¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 25¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 22¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 13¢ $13 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 29¢ $30 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 20¢ $30 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 25¢ $40 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL TheMongolz 14¢ $18 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 92¢ $120 12h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 26h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $55 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $58 29h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 64¢ $38 30h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 85¢ $47 30h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 18¢ $7 30h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 72¢ $30 31h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 25¢ $13 31h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 28¢ $15 31h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $60 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 82¢ $50 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $63 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $38 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage SELL Team Falcons $4 34d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage BUY Team Falcons 59¢ $51 34d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-40.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -19.2% -26.9% 44% 44% -26.9%
≤30d 9 -19.2% -26.9% 44% 44% -26.9%
≤90d 18 -59.1% -63.0% 22% 22% -44.8%
all 23 -34.6% -40.8% 35% 35% -33.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -40.8% 35% -33.3%
10% -46.5% 26% -39.6%
15% -51.6% 17% -45.5%
20% -56.4% 17% -50.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 59 history records