Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:21:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1b0…d6c8
crypto · 449 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,754 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,754 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,754
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses19 / 451
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)470 / 449
History coverage3d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day1316.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 470 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,337
7 days−$2,754
14 days−$2,754
30 days−$2,754
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $223 −$19 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $324 −$8 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $61 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $144 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$8 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $98 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $148 −$7 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $180 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $79 −$5 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $98 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $137 −$10 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,451
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $8 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $16 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $11 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $21 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $12 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $18 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $14 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $13 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $15 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $17 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $18 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $12 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $17 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $13 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $8 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $21 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $17 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $18 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $11 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $15 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $19 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $14 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $18 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $18 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-76.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 470 -74.5% -76.9% 4% 3% -35.9%
≤30d 470 -74.5% -76.9% 4% 3% -35.9%
≤90d 470 -74.5% -76.9% 4% 3% -35.9%
all 470 -74.5% -76.9% 4% 3% -35.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1316.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -76.9% 3% -35.9%
10% ← realistic here -79.1% 2% -42.1%
15% -81.1% 1% -47.7%
20% -83.0% 1% -52.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records