trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 50% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -3.0% | -12.3% | 25% | 0% | -11.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -2.2% | -11.6% | 45% | 0% | -11.0% |
| all | 19 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 53% | 0% | -10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.7% | 0% | -10.7% |
| 10% | -19.3% | 0% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -27.1% | 0% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 0% | -34.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $57 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 27 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 24 | $31 | −$4 | -12% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 24 | $31 | −$1 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 23 | $27 | −$4 | -14% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 23 | $38 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 21 | $37 | $0 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 21 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 20 | $51 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 19 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Apr 20 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 18 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the SPD be part of the next German government? | Apr 16 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government? | Apr 15 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 02 | $13 | $0 | -0% |