Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:49:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D1 0xd18f…b63e crypto 1742 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1345 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$17 (+1%) realized +$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR74%break-even
Win rate84%1470W / 272L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day1344.7pace
Kalshi-fit79%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 79% +$3
other 21% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1345 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +74%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1742 -0.3% -9.8% 84% 74% -9.8%
≤30d 1742 -0.3% -9.8% 84% 74% -9.8%
≤90d 1742 -0.3% -9.8% 84% 74% -9.8%
all 1742 -0.3% -9.8% 84% 74% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1344.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 74% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 19% -18.4%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 0% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1470 / 272
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1742 / 1742
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day1344.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1742 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +44%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3484 history records