trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 81¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-11%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +113% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 64¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 22¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 59¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 26¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 17¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 14¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 82¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $2 | 13h |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | BUY Yes | 14¢ | $1 | 23h |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 54¢ | $1 | 23h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 46¢ | $1 | 23h |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | BUY Yes | 14¢ | $1 | 23h |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | BUY Yes | 17¢ | $1 | 23h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -57.5% | -61.5% | 20% | 20% | -61.0% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -57.5% | -61.5% | 20% | 20% | -61.0% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -57.5% | -61.5% | 20% | 20% | -61.0% |
| all | 5 | -57.5% | -61.5% | 20% | 20% | -61.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -61.5% | 20% | -61.0% |
| 10% | -65.2% | 20% | -64.7% |
| 15% | -68.6% | 20% | -68.2% |
| 20% | -71.6% | 20% | -71.3% |