Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:02:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd189…5378
crypto · 394 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$233 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$201 · open −$35
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$557
Realized−$201
Unrealized−$35
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses198 / 173
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions23
Markets (closed)371 / 394
History coverage92d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 23 History 371 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days−$144
14 days+$66
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? No 81¢ 74¢ $400 $364 −$36 (-9%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 18¢ 36¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+97%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 58¢ 60¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane 50¢ 50¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 63¢ 62¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score No 52¢ 52¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 74¢ 72¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 71¢ 69¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 79¢ 76¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 41¢ 40¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 36¢ 32¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 42¢ 57¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+36%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No 32¢ 20¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-36%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 8¢ 4¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-44%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? Yes 54¢ 10¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-81%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 45¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 +$9 +874%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$11 +109%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$7 +65%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 +$5 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? Jun 11 $202 +$18 +9%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$8 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$11 +109%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 11 $10 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on Jun 10 $283 −$21 -7%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $15 +$4 +29%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $10 +$4 +44%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 +$15 +146%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 08 $10 +$7 +70%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $305 −$300 -98%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $125 +$61 +49%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 −$10 -49%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$3 -62%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$5 +50%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$9 +93%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$13 +124%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $10 +$7 +65%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$4 +44%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$9 +93%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $15 +$15 +97%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $10 +$4 +36%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$5 +46%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$6 +62%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$8 +79%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$10 +101%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $10 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $10 +$6 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 44% −$201
sports 26% −$314
world 19% +$228
tech 5% −$10
other 5% +$59
politics 1% −$2
finance 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY No 52¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 63¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 41¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 79¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 58¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 52¢ $10 14h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 72¢ $100 21h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 10¢ $1 21h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $10 28h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $10 28h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $10 28h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $10 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $10 28h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $10 28h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 85¢ $300 38h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $10 38h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 40¢ $10 38h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 38h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 38h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $10 38h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 38h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 38h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 38h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 38h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 38h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? SELL No 86¢ $220 38h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY No 50¢ $10 39h
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Ciryl Gane 50¢ $10 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +34.6% +21.8% 67% 64% -19.2%
≤30d 163 +7.8% -2.4% 57% 56% -11.7%
≤90d 364 +6.6% -3.6% 53% 47% -12.7%
all 371 +7.6% -2.7% 53% 47% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.7% 47% -12.7%
10% -12.0% 42% -21.0%
15% -20.5% 37% -28.7%
20% -28.3% 27% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $557.04 · official $557.05 (match) · 1628 history records