trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +22.6% | +10.9% | 57% | 57% | -0.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +22.6% | +10.9% | 57% | 57% | -0.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 62% | 54% | +0.6% |
| all | 18 | -13.5% | -21.8% | 44% | 39% | -22.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.8% | 39% | -22.5% |
| 10% | -29.3% | 39% | -29.9% |
| 15% | -36.1% | 28% | -36.7% |
| 20% | -42.4% | 22% | -42.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $105 | +$73 | +70% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $158 | −$60 | -38% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $53 | +$27 | +51% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$21 | +97% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$15 | -70% |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Jun 12 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $21 | +$31 | +149% |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | Mar 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | Mar 19 | $24 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 26? | Mar 19 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner | Mar 19 | $28 | +$10 | +35% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winner | Mar 19 | $20 | +$10 | +49% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Mar 19 | $17 | +$4 | +26% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Mar 17 | $20 | −$7 | -35% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Mar 15 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Mar 01 | $10 | −$9 | -86% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $99 | −$95 | -96% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Feb 28 | $50 | −$46 | -92% |