trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 25% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | -32.6% | -39.0% | 18% | 0% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -44.8% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -50.2% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -55.1% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $305 | $305 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $305 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Liverpool finish first in UCL league phase? | Apr 22 | $290 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-18? | Apr 22 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 22 | $290 | $0 | +0% |
| Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 20 | $290 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | Jan 15 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Dec 11 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Nov 15 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Aug 18 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Tigers vs. Rays | Aug 18 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 21 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Everton win on 2024-12-07? | Feb 02 | $57 | $0 | +0% |
| Aston Villa wins the Premier League? | Feb 02 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential El | Feb 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Feb 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Elec | Feb 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Biden wins the Popular Vote? | Feb 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi | Feb 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Elec | Feb 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024? | Feb 02 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will another movie gross most in 2024? | Jan 21 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Ele | Jan 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024? | Nov 14 | $5,020 | −$5 | -0% |
| Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election | Nov 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Kamala Harris drop out in August? | Sep 13 | $800 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025? | Aug 28 | $200 | −$25 | -12% |