trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 14% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 14% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 14% | 0% | -10.5% |
| all | 23 | -7.1% | -15.9% | 52% | 0% | -10.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.9% | 0% | -10.8% |
| 10% | -24.0% | 0% | -19.3% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 0% | -27.1% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -34.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 14 | $29 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $31 | $0 | -1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 12 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 11 | $26 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30? | Dec 14 | $13 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 22 | $3 | −$2 | -75% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -91% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Jun 25 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | Apr 21 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga? | Apr 19 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18? | Apr 18 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April? | Apr 17 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mark Carney lose his seat? | Apr 16 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days? | Apr 15 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 14 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files? | Apr 12 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%? | Apr 12 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump meets with Carney in March? | Apr 02 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 24 | $13 | $0 | +0% |