Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd166…51d2
crypto · 499 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$351 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$351 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$351
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses250 / 249
Open positions0
Markets (closed)499 / 499
History coverage17d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day53.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 499 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$57
14 days−$53
30 days−$351
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +80%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +90%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +78%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$10 +130%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$252
other 20% −$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $7 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $15 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 327 -5.8% -14.8% 51% 51% -15.6%
≤30d 499 -2.9% -12.2% 50% 47% -20.5%
≤90d 499 -2.9% -12.2% 50% 47% -20.5%
all 499 -2.9% -12.2% 50% 47% -20.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 47% -20.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 47% -28.1%
15% -28.3% 47% -35.0%
20% -35.3% 47% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1294 history records