Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T14:16:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D1 0xd164…6858 crypto 2446 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d only
✗ bot/MM pace (140 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$331 (+1%) realized +$331 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -43% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -56% what you keep after slip
Net edge-56%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate37%423W / 715L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown5%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day139.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$79
14 days+$106
30 days+$141
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$149
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (140 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-48.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 329 -49.4% -54.2% 50% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 1138 -43.0% -48.4% 37% 1% -9.3%
≤90d 1138 -43.0% -48.4% 37% 1% -9.3%
all 1138 -43.0% -48.4% 37% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover139.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -48.4% 1% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -53.3% 1% -18.0%
15% -57.8% 1% -25.9%
20% -62.0% 1% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -43% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -57% → late -29% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×8.55 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×5.06 per $1 lost it wins $5.06
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$331
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses423 / 715
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1138 / 2446
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$15
Trades / day139.8
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1138 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $13 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $39 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $127 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $150 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $400 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $131 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $56 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $72 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $12 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $206 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $99 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $35 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $7 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $150 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $98 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $80 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $11 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $20 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $13 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $11 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $400 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records