Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:56:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd155…8250
sports · 415 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$234 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$199 · open −$35
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$632
Realized−$199
Unrealized−$35
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses195 / 189
Est. fees paid−$101
Open positions39
Markets (closed)384 / 415
History coverage4d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day580.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 39 History 384 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$393
7 days−$199
14 days−$199
30 days−$199
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 93¢ 91¢ $85 $83 −$2 (-2%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 43¢ 44¢ $63 $64 +$1 (+1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 63¢ 19¢ $132 $40 −$92 (-70%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 62¢ 66¢ $36 $38 +$2 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 69¢ 100¢ $23 $34 +$10 (+44%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 50¢ 46¢ $35 $33 −$2 (-7%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 65¢ 79¢ $22 $27 +$5 (+21%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 78¢ 81¢ $26 $27 +$1 (+4%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 53¢ 54¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 54¢ 100¢ $12 $23 +$10 (+85%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 86¢ 84¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-2%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 42¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-3%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? No 34¢ 34¢ $17 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 75¢ 59¢ $18 $14 −$4 (-21%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 80¢ 81¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 57¢ 100¢ $7 $12 +$5 (+76%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 32¢ 28¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-10%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 56¢ 66¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 20¢ 41¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+105%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 57¢ 59¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? No 78¢ 57¢ $11 $8 −$3 (-27%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 21¢ 32¢ $6 $8 +$3 (+47%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 90¢ 94¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 44¢ 34¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-22%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 20¢ 20¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $0 $0 +16%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $13 +$12 +92%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$4 +17%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $8 +$3 +34%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $30 −$16 -54%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 +$2 +39%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $4 +$3 +90%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 $0 -4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $113 +$59 +52%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $24 +$23 +93%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $42 +$15 +36%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $17 −$1 -4%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $15 +$5 +34%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $15 +$3 +19%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $30 −$2 -7%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $7 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $36 −$15 -42%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $33 +$16 +49%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $45 +$10 +23%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $15 −$8 -54%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $27 −$3 -12%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $19 −$5 -25%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $17 −$15 -88%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $45 −$8 -19%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $47 +$28 +59%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $101 −$44 -44%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $15 +$21 +140%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +47%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$21 -86%
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Vekic Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$255
other 3% +$21
world 0% −$2
tech 0% $0
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 88¢ $9 1m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 63¢ $6 1m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 14¢ $2 2m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $111 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 19¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 19¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 21¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 80¢ $1 6m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 61¢ $5 11m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 25¢ $2 12m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 42¢ $2 12m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 32¢ $3 13m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 31¢ $3 14m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 32¢ $2 14m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 27¢ $2 15m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 27¢ $1 15m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $4 15m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 32¢ $3 15m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 31¢ $3 15m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 44¢ $3 21m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 52¢ $2 22m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 43¢ $2 22m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 59¢ $4 22m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 53¢ $1 22m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 53¢ $1 22m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 58¢ $4 24m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 37¢ $4 25m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 54¢ $5 27m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 67¢ $4 27m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 68¢ $2 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 384 +1.3% -8.3% 51% 45% -11.8%
≤30d 384 +1.3% -8.3% 51% 45% -11.8%
≤90d 384 +1.3% -8.3% 51% 45% -11.8%
all 384 +1.3% -8.3% 51% 45% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover580.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 45% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 36% -20.3%
15% -25.1% 28% -28.0%
20% -32.4% 19% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $631.60 · official $631.50 (match) · 3500 history records