Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:58:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd13d…28c8
crypto · 1325 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,021 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,021 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,021
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses726 / 599
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1325 / 1325
History coverage60d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day51.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1325 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$37
14 days−$29
30 days−$522
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$6 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$24 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$56 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $124 −$26 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$19 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $149 −$17 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$12 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$17 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -91%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $1 $0 -6%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $1 $0 -8%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $1 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,016
politics 0% −$4
other 0% $0
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $12 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $11 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $55 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $80 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $51 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 177 -2.3% -11.6% 62% 31% -11.2%
≤30d 565 -4.8% -13.9% 61% 33% -20.2%
≤90d 1325 -7.1% -15.9% 55% 40% -15.0%
all 1325 -7.1% -15.9% 55% 40% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 40% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 30% -23.1%
15% -31.3% 24% -30.6%
20% -38.1% 18% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records