trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -25.0% | -32.1% | 50% | 50% | -11.0% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 71% | 29% | -7.5% |
| all | 14 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 86% | 14% | -7.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 14% | -7.7% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 14% | -16.5% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 14% | -24.6% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 7% | -32.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 80¢ | 80¢ | $221 | $219 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 38¢ | 38¢ | $93 | $95 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $207 | +$104 | +50% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 04 | $111 | −$109 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 13 | $240 | −$237 | -99% |
| Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026 | May 13 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 40% by March 31? | May 13 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | May 13 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | May 13 | $186 | +$260 | +140% |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026? | Mar 07 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 mil | Mar 07 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Negative GDP growth in 2025? | Mar 07 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February? | Mar 07 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February? | Mar 07 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.00 end of January? | Feb 04 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by 2025? | Jan 09 | $46 | $0 | +0% |