Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:20:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd130…02a3
crypto · 167 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
−$6,091 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,091 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,091
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses70 / 97
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)167 / 167
History coverage634d
Avg bet$129
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$445
7 days−$541
14 days−$2,307
30 days−$2,531
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $297 $0 −$297 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14 Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $418 $0 −$418 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Will Diddy plead guilty to any charges? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $202 +$29 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $453 −$189 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $308 −$26 -8%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $234 +$255 +109%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $156 −$152 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$31 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $119 −$91 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $340 −$208 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $153 +$69 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $101 +$61 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $94 −$82 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $75 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 05 $241 −$220 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 05 $302 +$37 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 05 $102 −$20 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 05 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 05 $102 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 05 $117 −$111 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 05 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 02 $112 −$111 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 31 $103 −$15 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 31 $103 −$25 -24%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $1,163 −$93 -8%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1,977 −$1,230 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 26 $51 −$48 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 26 $103 −$100 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 26 $102 −$35 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 26? May 26 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? May 26 $10 −$1 -9%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET May 26 $31 +$13 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET May 26 $31 +$32 +103%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 26 $103 +$37 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 26 $11 −$10 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 26 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 23 $148 −$145 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 23 $88 +$60 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 23 $438 −$196 -45%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 23 $154 +$15 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 23 $195 −$69 -36%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 23 $26 +$25 +95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 23 $77 −$8 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 23 $259 +$28 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 23 $26 +$24 +92%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 23 $42 +$55 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 23 $26 −$14 -53%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 23 $127 +$25 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$2,439
other 18% −$1,631
sports 15% −$2,008
tech 1% −$12
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $92 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $250 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $101 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $489 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-28.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -27.2% -34.1% 40% 33% -28.7%
≤30d 90 -9.8% -18.4% 49% 34% -29.9%
≤90d 92 -10.6% -19.1% 49% 34% -29.6%
all 167 -21.0% -28.5% 42% 34% -35.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.5% 34% -35.1%
10% -35.4% 25% -41.3%
15% -41.6% 20% -47.0%
20% -47.3% 14% -52.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 618 history records