Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:20:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd12c…ed3d
sports · 130 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$209 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$132 · open +$341
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,102
Realized−$132
Unrealized+$341
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses64 / 62
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$1,020
Open positions4
Markets (closed)126 / 130
History coverage216d
Avg bet$919
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,826
7 days−$8,114
14 days−$5,565
30 days+$419
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Team WE 12¢ 100¢ $120 $995 +$875 (+729%)
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes 62¢ 50¢ $131 $106 −$25 (-19%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 26¢ 0¢ $390 $1 −$389 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 12¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$119 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 43¢ 0¢ $645 $0 −$645 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 34¢ 0¢ $680 $0 −$680 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 29¢ 0¢ $1,025 $0 −$1,025 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Movistar KOI 35¢ 0¢ $1,390 $0 −$1,390 (-100%)
Nets vs. Jazz Jazz 55¢ 0¢ $1,647 $0 −$1,647 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 34¢ 0¢ $510 $0 −$510 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 27¢ 0¢ $641 $0 −$641 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 50¢ 0¢ $1,119 $0 −$1,119 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs JD Gaming 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Celtics Celtics 69¢ 0¢ $2,070 $0 −$2,070 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Heat Heat 64¢ 0¢ $1,465 $0 −$1,465 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs BNK FEARX 55¢ 0¢ $550 $0 −$550 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks Trail Blazers 28¢ 0¢ $419 $0 −$419 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner LGD Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $507 $0 −$507 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Pacers Hawks 53¢ 0¢ $1,431 $0 −$1,431 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX 21¢ 0¢ $392 $0 −$392 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) T1 68¢ 0¢ $1,360 $0 −$1,360 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 54¢ 0¢ $540 $0 −$540 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 34¢ 0¢ $337 $0 −$337 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 32¢ 0¢ $650 $0 −$650 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,279 +$2,221 +174%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1,548 −$1,530 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,036 −$1,025 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $1,582 −$1,560 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $766 −$755 -99%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $1,373 −$1,360 -99%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 12 $487 +$513 +105%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 12 $417 +$583 +140%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,413 +$587 +42%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $510 −$500 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $567 +$433 +76%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $649 −$41 -6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $347 −$340 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $55 +$38 +69%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 08 $610 +$390 +64%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 08 $487 +$513 +105%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 08 $874 +$843 +96%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $1,432 +$568 +40%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $282 +$637 +226%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $656 +$844 +129%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,586 −$1,119 -71%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $649 −$645 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $467 −$460 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,282 −$1,260 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $679 −$675 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $1,410 −$1,390 -99%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $547 −$540 -99%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) Jun 06 $1,254 −$1,240 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $1,183 −$1,162 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $693 −$680 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $878 −$860 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $343 −$337 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $220 −$220 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $437 +$563 +129%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $692 +$808 +117%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $210 +$290 +138%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $420 −$420 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $918 −$906 -99%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 02 $1,041 +$2,359 +226%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $389 −$312 -80%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $225 +$775 +344%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $133 +$867 +650%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $673 −$660 -98%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) May 30 $1,393 +$607 +44%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) May 29 $1,004 +$797 +79%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 29 $316 +$684 +216%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $678 −$40 -6%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 29 $396 −$392 -99%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) May 28 $677 +$323 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$191
other 2% +$415
crypto 0% +$8
world 0% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 12¢ $25 55m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 12¢ $95 55m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 18¢ $84 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 18¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 18¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 18¢ $4 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 30¢ $158 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 30¢ $145 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $34 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $63 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $14 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $1 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $1 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $5 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $2 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 14¢ $23 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 14¢ $1 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 14¢ $116 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 13¢ $267 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 35¢ $154 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 35¢ $105 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 35¢ $70 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 35¢ $21 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $791 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 15¢ $116 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 15¢ $16 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 15¢ $2 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 15¢ $1 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 15¢ $1 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -17.8% -25.7% 40% 40% -39.1%
≤30d 92 +11.8% +1.2% 49% 49% -8.9%
≤90d 95 +14.6% +3.7% 51% 51% -6.4%
all 126 +8.6% -1.7% 51% 51% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.7% 51% -9.6%
10% -11.1% 49% -18.3%
15% -19.7% 44% -26.2%
20% -27.6% 37% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,101.77 · official $1,101.77 (match) · 611 history records