Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:56:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd128…bfee
crypto · 129 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$39 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$25
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses68 / 60
Open positions1
Markets (closed)128 / 129
History coverage715d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$2
14 days−$4
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 31¢ 6¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$2 -57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 49% +$1
politics 46% +$25
world 6% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -6.0% -14.9% 55% 52% -11.6%
≤30d 123 -3.6% -12.8% 54% 50% -9.1%
≤90d 123 -3.6% -12.8% 54% 50% -9.1%
all 128 -3.4% -12.6% 53% 49% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 49% -6.0%
10% -20.9% 41% -15.0%
15% -28.6% 30% -23.2%
20% -35.6% 21% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.18 · official $0.34 (match) · 390 history records