Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:01:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd122…5a81
crypto · 37 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$260 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,024 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,024
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses15 / 20
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)35 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$213
Trades / day213.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 0 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,024
7 days−$2,024
14 days−$2,024
30 days−$2,024
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $234 −$234 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $184 −$184 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $618 −$618 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $519 −$519 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $673 −$673 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $413 +$281 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $613 +$252 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $208 −$208 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $566 −$242 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $205 −$149 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $371 +$239 +64%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $51 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $256 −$209 -82%
Will France win on 2026-06-26? Jun 14 $51 −$2 -5%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 14 $51 −$2 -4%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 14 $51 −$2 -4%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 14 $50 −$2 -4%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 14 $50 −$2 -3%
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Jun 14 $51 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $436 +$48 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $217 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $229 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $107 +$42 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $366 −$67 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$77 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $87 +$27 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $201 +$15 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $161 +$30 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $138 +$191 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$51 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $230 −$177 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $77 +$31 +41%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $55 +$10 +18%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 14 $50 −$1 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$1,982
other 6% −$2
sports 1% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $104 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $104 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $103 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $695 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $104 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $103 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $103 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $103 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $105 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $105 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $103 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $102 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $102 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $102 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $102 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -10.3% -18.9% 43% 34% -33.1%
≤30d 35 -10.3% -18.9% 43% 34% -33.1%
≤90d 35 -10.3% -18.9% 43% 34% -33.1%
all 35 -10.3% -18.9% 43% 34% -33.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover213.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 34% -33.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 26% -39.5%
15% -33.7% 23% -45.4%
20% -40.2% 14% -50.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $100.00 · 238 history records