Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:00:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd10f…bef4
sports · 96 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$365 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$422 · open −$57
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$744
Realized+$422
Unrealized−$57
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses45 / 44
Est. fees paid−$115
Open positions7
Markets (closed)89 / 96
History coverage38d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 89 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$442
7 days+$857
14 days+$571
30 days+$679
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Gen.G 48¢ 46¢ $200 $194 −$6 (-3%)
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) Galions 59¢ 49¢ $200 $166 −$34 (-17%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 62¢ 62¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner FURIA 62¢ 60¢ $101 $99 −$2 (-2%)
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) Vivo Keyd Stars 63¢ 52¢ $80 $66 −$14 (-17%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) G2 Esports 55¢ 56¢ $60 $62 +$2 (+3%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 46¢ 46¢ $60 $59 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs Solary 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Team Yandex 39¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 44¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs REKONIX 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 53¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs DRX 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs CCG Esports 28¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima Moyuka Uchijima 64¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5) REKONIX 40¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5) Natus Vincere 56¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 56¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha MIBR 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffs Cloud9 New York 17¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Luca Castelnuovo 62¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs FURIA Esports 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $61 +$39 +64%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $202 +$130 +64%
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $61 +$89 +146%
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 12 $152 −$150 -99%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $202 +$120 +60%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $51 +$65 +129%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $203 +$148 +73%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 10 $203 +$169 +83%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $203 +$173 +85%
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) Jun 10 $203 +$155 +76%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $203 −$200 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $203 +$168 +83%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. S Jun 09 $61 +$51 +84%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $101 −$100 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $101 −$100 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $101 +$84 +83%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 06 $76 −$75 -98%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 06 $26 +$74 +291%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Jun 05 $101 +$66 +65%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 05 $76 −$75 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $51 +$30 +60%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag Jun 04 $51 −$50 -98%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 04 $76 −$75 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $101 +$80 +79%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Clos Jun 03 $101 −$100 -99%
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 02 $41 +$30 +73%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 02 $101 −$3 -3%
Makarska: Tamara Zidansek vs Polona Hercog Jun 02 $41 −$5 -13%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 02 $101 −$10 -10%
Birmingham: Kayla Day vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 02 $41 −$40 -99%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eu Jun 02 $61 +$89 +146%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuit Jun 01 $41 −$40 -99%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Linda Klimovicova Jun 01 $40 +$25 +62%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $101 −$100 -99%
Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez May 31 $40 −$40 -99%
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualif May 30 $51 +$92 +180%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Eu May 30 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Pl May 30 $41 −$40 -98%
LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers Leag May 29 $51 −$50 -98%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas May 29 $51 +$84 +165%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 28 $101 +$77 +76%
Valorant: MIBR vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Quali May 28 $41 +$34 +84%
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs May 27 $51 +$81 +158%
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante May 27 $26 +$153 +596%
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act May 26 $62 +$42 +67%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacifi May 22 $40 −$40 -99%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships May 20 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO5) - Circuit May 20 $142 −$140 -99%
Set Handicap: Kjaer (-1.5) vs Gentzsch (+1.5) May 20 $40 +$24 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$365
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) BUY Galions 59¢ $202 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY Gen.G 48¢ $203 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 60¢ $61 13h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 62¢ $102 14h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $101 14h
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 63¢ $81 21h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Forsaken 52¢ $152 25h
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 60¢ $202 25h
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5) BUY Paper Rex 40¢ $61 43h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $61 43h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 55¢ $61 43h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 62¢ $202 44h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY KOLESIE 43¢ $51 45h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 57¢ $203 2d
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe BUY OLDBOYS- 54¢ $203 2d
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM BUY Fluxo W7M 47¢ $203 3d
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) BUY HEROIC Academy 56¢ $203 3d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Warriors 53¢ $203 4d
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. S BUY No 54¢ $61 4d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 54¢ $203 4d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 57¢ $101 6d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Astralis 61¢ $101 7d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 39¢ $51 7d
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America BUY paiN Gaming 37¢ $76 7d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Astralis 54¢ $101 7d
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) BUY HANJIN BRION 45¢ $76 7d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY TYLOO 62¢ $51 8d
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty L BUY Vancouver Surge 25¢ $26 8d
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag BUY Cloud9 New York 17¢ $51 8d
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of BUY Riyadh Falcons 60¢ $101 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +46.2% +32.2% 79% 79% +27.4%
≤30d 63 +14.6% +3.7% 52% 52% +2.3%
≤90d 89 +6.5% -3.6% 51% 51% -4.4%
all 89 +6.5% -3.6% 51% 51% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.6% 51% -4.4%
10% -12.8% 51% -13.5%
15% -21.3% 51% -21.9%
20% -29.0% 51% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $744.45 · official $744.47 (match) · 147 history records