trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15? | Yes | 82¢ | 60¢ | $200 | $147 | −$53 (-27%) |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | Over | 73¢ | 68¢ | $50 | $46 | −$4 (-7%) |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 | Over | 80¢ | 58¢ | $50 | $36 | −$14 (-28%) |
| Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 | Over | 68¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on | Jun 12 | $21 | −$20 | -100% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $251 | +$24 | +10% |
| Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard | Jun 12 | $100 | +$8 | +8% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 202 | Jun 12 | $10 | +$15 | +150% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $50 | +$12 | +23% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $201 | +$22 | +11% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $30 | +$11 | +36% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $20 | +$17 | +82% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $101 | +$42 | +42% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 11 | $252 | +$5 | +2% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 11 | $50 | +$15 | +30% |
| England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $80 | +$15 | +18% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 10 | $101 | +$21 | +21% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 10 | $52 | −$29 | -56% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 10 | $1,331 | −$837 | -63% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 09 | $3,217 | −$2,663 | -83% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? | Jun 08 | $100 | +$18 | +18% |
| Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 08 | $100 | +$18 | +18% |
| Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 1.5 | Jun 07 | $101 | +$24 | +24% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 07 | $10 | +$16 | +155% |
| Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) | Jun 07 | $101 | −$1 | -1% |
| Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5 | Jun 07 | $26 | +$7 | +26% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 07 | $301 | +$22 | +7% |
| Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 | Jun 06 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +7.2% | -3.0% | 72% | 56% | -54.6% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +7.2% | -3.0% | 72% | 56% | -54.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +7.2% | -3.0% | 72% | 56% | -54.6% |
| all | 25 | +7.2% | -3.0% | 72% | 56% | -54.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.0% | 56% | -54.6% |
| 10% | -12.3% | 36% | -58.9% |
| 15% | -20.7% | 20% | -62.9% |
| 20% | -28.5% | 12% | -66.5% |