Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:34:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D0 0xd0f0…f9f9 crypto 805 markets active 2d ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d only
✗ bot/MM pace (192 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$188 (-2%) realized −$188 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate22%208W / 729L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day191.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$420
7 days−$497
14 days−$543
30 days−$543
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$122
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (192 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 490 -29.9% -36.6% 21% 18% -25.0%
≤30d 937 -19.4% -27.1% 22% 17% -15.5%
≤90d 937 -19.4% -27.1% 22% 17% -15.5%
all 937 -19.4% -27.1% 22% 17% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover191.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.1% 17% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -34.1% 12% -23.6%
15% -40.4% 8% -31.0%
20% -46.3% 6% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -31% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
0.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.3 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.48 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$188
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses208 / 729
Open positions0
Markets (closed)937 / 805
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day191.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 937 Trades
no open positions (227 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $0 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records