Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:12:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0f0…3462
crypto · 7 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$3 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -0.3% -9.8% 57% 43% +12.0%
≤30d 7 -0.3% -9.8% 57% 43% +12.0%
≤90d 7 -0.3% -9.8% 57% 43% +12.0%
all 7 -0.3% -9.8% 57% 43% +12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 43% +12.0%
10% -18.4% 43% +1.3%
15% -26.3% 29% -8.5%
20% -33.5% 29% -17.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records