Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:43:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D0 0xd0ed…e2e7 crypto 129 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (281 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$4 · open +$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate78%100W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day281.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$3now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (281 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 -5.3% -14.3% 78% 10% -12.0%
≤30d 128 -5.3% -14.3% 78% 10% -12.0%
≤90d 128 -5.3% -14.3% 78% 10% -12.0%
all 128 -5.3% -14.3% 78% 10% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover281.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 10% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 6% -20.5%
15% -30.0% 6% -28.1%
20% -36.8% 6% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +13% → late -24% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$3
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses100 / 28
Open positions1
Markets (closed)128 / 129
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day281.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 128 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 26¢ 66¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+152%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 8 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$2 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$1 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $0 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $0 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.27 · official $2.92 (match) · 403 history records