Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:42:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D0 0xd0e2…25ea sports 141 markets active 0h ago coverage 50d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable sports specialist⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,719 (+1%) realized +$1,719 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate55%77W / 63L
Whale WR69%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$894per market
Trades / day48.8pace
Fees−$2,553est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 50d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$554
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)+4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -25.0% -32.1% 67% 33% -3.9%
≤30d 71 +8.1% -2.2% 58% 27% -10.9%
≤90d 140 +15.0% +4.1% 55% 24% -9.5%
all 140 +15.0% +4.1% 55% 24% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.1% 24% -9.5%
10% -5.9% 16% -18.2%
15% ← realistic here -15.0% 14% -26.1%
20% -23.3% 12% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
55% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +15% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 69% (≥$943) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +22% → late +8% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
8.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$70 vs −$94 · ×0.74 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

50d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,719
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses77 / 63
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$2,553
Open positions1
Markets (closed)140 / 141
History coverage50d
Avg bet$894
Trades / day48.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 140 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 53 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $1,752 +$46 +3%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $400 +$90 +22%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $11 −$1 -9%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $194 −$10 -5%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $1,185 +$8 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $295 +$54 +18%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,318 +$17 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $161 +$3 +2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $417 +$55 +13%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $906 +$2 +0%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $271 +$8 +3%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $666 −$231 -35%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $910 −$90 -10%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $414 +$31 +8%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,569 −$12 -1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $355 +$7 +2%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $486 −$71 -14%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,078 −$362 -34%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $3,046 +$34 +1%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $667 +$16 +2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $479 +$9 +2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $777 +$75 +10%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $210 −$56 -27%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $15 +$20 +127%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $381 −$26 -7%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $459 +$60 +13%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $481 −$395 -82%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $735 −$124 -17%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $1,239 +$14 +1%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,399 +$54 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2,247 −$708 -32%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $645 −$531 -82%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $17 +$12 +68%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,404 −$6 -0%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $471 +$21 +4%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $894 −$6 -1%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $714 +$46 +6%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $480 −$11 -2%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $981 −$7 -1%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $1,442 −$304 -21%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $418 +$21 +5%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $6 +$5 +94%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $1,747 −$104 -6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $2,140 −$17 -1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $2,709 +$282 +10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $1,839 −$190 -10%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner May 31 $5,620 +$191 +3%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner May 31 $5,012 −$146 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 36¢ $73 17m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 36¢ $18 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 36¢ $9 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 36¢ $2 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 36¢ $38 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 18¢ $72 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 12¢ $7 21m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 12¢ $30 21m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 12¢ $5 21m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 12¢ $3 21m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 12¢ $2 21m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $40 22m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 28¢ $106 33m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 25¢ $99 33m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 88¢ $680 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 84¢ $326 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 90¢ $349 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 92¢ $357 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 84¢ $326 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 10¢ $39 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 9¢ $36 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 93¢ $360 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 91¢ $130 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 92¢ $226 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 91¢ $361 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 90¢ $350 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 85¢ $9 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 65¢ $252 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $191 2h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2494 history records